The Inversion: pattern-of-life analysis on a disputed insurance claim
Client: Defense counsel for an insurance carrier
The question
A carrier faced a mid-six-figure liability claim that didn't add up. Defense counsel suspected the claimant's sworn account was false: the addresses they attested to and the daily routine they described. Counsel needed to know, before an independent medical examination (IME) 30 days out, whether the sworn routine matched how the claimant actually lived.
Constraints
- A hard deadline. The IME was 30 days away.
- Defense posture. Findings had to hold up as evidence: each one rated for confidence, with no overreach.
- Uneven location accuracy. Some places could only be fixed to within about a city block. Each site was rated and flagged for field verification before anyone relied on it.
What we did
- Intake: broke the claimant's sworn statements into four testable claims.
- Pattern of life: reviewed about a year of historical device-level location intelligence. Mapped the recurring places, when visits happen, how long they last and where the device rests overnight.
- Testing: compared each sworn claim with the observed pattern and gave every finding a confidence rating.
- Planning: turned the pattern into ranked windows for lawful surveillance, with predicted presence, so field work could confirm the findings on the ground.
What we found
- Four sworn claims tested. Three contradicted.
- Home and work were swapped. The claimant visited the address they called their primary residence only on weekday afternoons (22 of 22). The address they called their workplace was where the device spent every night in the window (23 of 23), with a consistent overnight sleep window.
- An undisclosed second household.
- The described disability routine didn't match the claimant's observed daily movement.
- One claim held up, and the report said so. The claimed medical-treatment schedule was corroborated: 13 of 13 appointments kept. We report what the data shows, including findings that support the claimant.
Timeline
A surveillance plan was ready in five days, well inside the 30-day IME deadline.
Outcome
The claim settled before trial, in the carrier's favor.